A lot can change in a month. In September, a poll by the Public Policy Institute of California put Whitman and Brown in a dead heat. A survey conducted mid-October by the same group puts Brown eight points ahead. Likely voters prefer him 44 percent to Whitman's 36 percent. Mark Baldassare is with P-P-I-C. He says if Republicans are going to catch up by the election, they'll need to focus on more than just turnout:
"It's got to be really changing the minds of the undecideds that would make a difference at this point for Whitman, particularly the large number of independents who are undecided in this election."